Transient analysis of Markov models of fault‐tolerant systems with deferred repair using split regenerative randomization

The (standard) randomization method is an attractive alternative for the transient analysis of continuous time Markov models. The main advantages of the method are numerical stability, well‐controlled computation error, and ability to specify the computation error in advance. However, the fact that the method can be computationally very expensive limits its applicability. In this paper, we develop a new method called split regenerative randomization, which, having the same good properties as standard randomization, can be significantly more efficient. The method covers reliability‐like models with a particular but quite general structure and requires the selection of a subset of states and a regenerative state satisfying some conditions. For a class of continuous time Markov models, model class C₂, including typical failure/repair reliability‐like models with exponential failure and repair time distributions and deferred repair, natural selections are available for both the subset of states and the regenerative state and, for those natural selections, theoretical results are available assessing the efficiency of the method in terms of “visible” model characteristics. Those results can be used to anticipate when the method can be expected to be competitive. We illustrate the application of the method using a large class C₂ model and show that for models in that class the method can indeed be significantly more efficient than previously available randomization‐based methods. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

粗糙神经网络的航空电子系统故障诊断方法

提出了一种基于粗糙神经网络的航空电子系统故障诊断方法.该方法运用粗糙集理论进行知识规则的提取,用提取的规则对航空电子系统输出数据进行分类,再用神经网络对每一类进行辨识,最后用粗糙集分类结果与各个神经网络输出进行综合得到系统一步预测结果,将该预测结果与航空电子系统实际输出进行阀值比较,进而进行故障诊断.实际应用表明该方法可行并能够有效地检测系统故障,故障诊断率高.     

基于时域平均的齿轮故障诊断

提出了信号时域平均处理的新算法,解决了周期截断误差对平均结果的影响,并对测取的齿轮箱齿轮故障振动信号进行了处理。实验结果表明:该方法在齿轮故障信号的处理中能够消除背景噪声的影响,取得比较理想的效果。     

利用隔离模式实现千兆网卡双冗余功能

为保证网络系统各终端通信线路具有较高的抗毁性和可靠性,千兆网卡必须提供双冗余功能。介绍了GMⅡ接口,以及采用双通道方案,如何利用PHY芯片的隔离模式来实现千兆网卡的双冗余功能。给出了一个具体设计方案,仿真结果表明,该项设计成果可直接用于军用以太网的升级换代。     

多CPU探测机器人分布式体系结构研究

星球探测机器人是一个带有部分自主行为的自主智能机器人系统,它的体系结构不仅决定了系统完成任务的能力、系统对环境事件的反应能力,而且还决定了系统的健壮性.星球探测机器人的容错网络结构是系统设计的核心,文章提出了一个高可靠的分布式计算系统架构,并对架构的容错网络通信技术进行了分析.     

基于χ~2检验的惯性/卫星紧耦合系统故障检测与隔离方法

研究了一种基于χ~2检验的惯性/卫星紧耦合系统故障检测与隔离方法,该方法可利用故障检测函数自动识别单个卫导故障,并实时剔除故障星重构观测信息序列,从而避免了对紧耦合系统的影响。构建数字化仿真环境对所研究的故障检测与隔离方法进行了仿真,仿真结果表明,该方法可在卫星发生故障时及时检测并隔离故障星,并自动实现观测信息重构,保证了紧耦合系统的精度和完好性。     

结合振动特征优选和GWOA-XGBoost的电机轴承故障诊断

为解决电机轴承故障状态难以识别,从而造成诊断精度不高的情况,提出了一种基于信号特征提取与极限梯度提升算法(extreme gradient boosting, XGBoost)结合的电机轴承故障诊断模型。使用优化的变分模态分解获得振动信号的固有模态函数(intrinsic mode function, IMF)分量,再基于多尺度熵理论计算各IMF分量的多尺度熵值进行特征重构。在鲸鱼优化算法(whale optimization algorithm, WOA)中引入遗传算法的选择、交叉、变异操作对WOA进行改进。用改进的WOA算法对XGBoost的超参数进行寻优,获得了帮助XGBoost取得最优分类效果的超参数组合,将7种不同故障类型的振动信号进行重构后输入优化的XGBoost模型进行故障诊断。实验结果表明,所提GWOA-XGBoost模型的电机轴承故障诊断精度能够达到97.14%,相较于传统诊断方法,性能提升效果显著。     

旋转整流器断路故障诊断分析

阐述了无刷励磁发电机的旋转整流器在正常工况下的换相原理和换相过程,理论解析了旋转整流器在正常和断路工况下的输入电流波形,定量分析了励磁机励磁电流谐波含量,证明了以励磁电流作为旋转整流器故障诊断依据的可行性。仿真和实验验证表明:定量分析谐波含量提高了旋转整流器的故障检测精确性,为无刷励磁发电机系统的故障诊断研究提供了判断依据。     

基于频谱的缺陷定位技术:逆向切片优于执行切片

一般情况下,缺陷定位技术的应用前提是必须存在测试预言,以判断测试用例的运行结果是失败或者成功,否则将无法使用。然而,在许多实际情况下,测试预言不存在或者很难定义,这就是著名的"预言家难题"。为了应对"预言家难题",利用蜕变测试,扩充了采用逆向切片基于频谱的缺陷定位技术的方法学,实现了其在无测试预言下的有效应用。基于上述研究,进一步对比了SFL技术中执行切片与逆向切片的缺陷定位能力。实验表明,在有测试预言和无测试预言两种情况下,逆向切片比执行切片具有更强的缺陷定位能力,并且公式GP19和ER1’相比于其他公式,更有可能达到最优结果。     

Involving the elephant: technical isolation and the role of India in a possible solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis

Apart from North Korea, no state's nuclear program in the twenty-first century has raised more concern to international security than Iran's. While Iran insists that its nuclear program is strictly for civilian purpose in line with Article IV of non-proliferation treaty, the USA and its allies insist that Iran has military intentions and called for sanctions. The failure of sanctions to deter Iran from its nuclear agenda had made many scholars and policy-makers call for a preemptive attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. Situated within this debate, this paper positions itself as an antagonist to the preemptive airstrike option and argues that involving India in a possible nuclear “iron curtain” against Iran – a move known as technical isolation – remains the best option to the current nuclear crises.